Boots & Sabers

The blogging will continue until morale improves...

Category: Politics

Why was Tim surprised at the loss if internal polling showed them behind?

From the same article:

Talking to local Minnesota outlet Kstp-tv on Thursday, the Minnesota governor admitted he was “a little surprised” by the election results.

 

“It felt like at the rallies, at the things I was going to, the shops I was going in, that the momentum was going our way, and it obviously wasn’t at the end,” Walz said.

 

“So yeah, I was a little surprised. I thought we had a positive message and I thought the country was ready for that,” he added.

and…

According to one senior adviser for the Harris campaign, internal polling never actually saw Harris defeating Trump.

Presumably the campaign’s internal polling was being shared with Walz, no? If it was, then why was he surprised? They never had a lead. Why would it be surprising that they lost.

Alternatively, if Walz was surprised, does that indicate that the bad internal polling was being held so closely that even the VP candidate was not told? Or did the campaign lie to Walz so that he thought they were going to win? Or did Walz see the internal polls and not believe him because of his anecdotal experiences and contrived campaign events?

Someone should try to dig a bit deeper on exactly how deep the fraud of the Harris campaign ran. Were they just lying to big donors and supporters or where they lying to themselves too?

Biden Leaves America in Shambles

Per my last post, this is the mess that the American people elected Trump to clean up.

What an incredible mess Joe Biden will be leaving for Donald Trump on Jan. 20.

 

It isn’t just the $36 trillion in federal debt (up $13 trillion since 2020), which has increasingly (and foolishly) been financed by short-term borrowings; it is also inflation that refuses to die despite slumping energy prices, a Strategic Petroleum Reserve that has been drained to perilous levels, a weapons stockpile that is dangerously low, a Department of Justice that has lost the confidence of Americans, billions upon billions of taxpayer dollars that have been invested in losing enterprises (here’s looking at you, Intel), an educational curriculum that teaches kids to hate their country but fails to deliver youngsters able to read and write, a housing crisis, a manufacturing slump and so much more.

 

Biden also leaves Trump the nightmarish task of extricating the U.S. from Ukraine’s war with Russia and — once again — having to restore a sustainable balance of power in the Middle East.

 

No wonder Trump is preparing to hit the ground running.

 

If Joe Biden were a decent fellow and a patriot, he would be using his remaining weeks as president to fix some of the disasters he has created. Instead, he is doing just the opposite.

House Works on Deal to Extend Obamacare Subsidies

Just look at how the Washington Post frames this issue.

A one-year deal to extend the expiring ACA subsidies would avoid what was expected to be a bruising battle for both parties. Democrats, who crafted the subsidies and have fought to defend them, are set to lose control of the Senate and the White House next year, complicating their ability to make policy. Republicans, who are set to gain control of Washington, are wary of being punished by voters for any perception that they are rolling back health-care coverage, with the backlash to their ACA repeal efforts still fresh in many lawmakers’ minds.

 

GOP leaders have repeatedly said they are skeptical of the subsidies, which expanded long-standing ACA tax credits to millions of Americans, and the influential House Republican Study Committee has called to end the nearly four-year-old initiative.

 

It is not yet clear whether Republican leaders, who control the House, will agree to any of the proposals. Spokespeople for Republicans on the House Ways and Means and the Senate Finance committees declined to comment.

If House Republicans really worried about “being punished by voters for any perception that they are rolling back health-care coverage, then they are worried about the wrong thing. The American People just elected a change agent in Trump and Republican majorities to help him do it. We are sick and tired of all of this massive spending just being continued and expanded to no perceivable end to the utter ruin of our nation. Obamacare is a disaster and the federal government is squandering the wealth of our nation. If they can’t start saying “no” to something, then House Republicans should fear being cast from office at the earliest opportunity.

Obama Touts the Benefit of Pluralism. History Laughs.

Remember that this is the man who rammed through his destructive signature achievement, Obamacare, at Christmas without a single Republican vote. He does not believe in pluralism.

In a speech at a “Democracy Forum” sponsored by his foundation, the former president said he was convinced that a renewed commitment to pluralist principles was essential to ensure the survival of democracy.

“The alternative is what we’ve seen here in the United States and in many democracies around the globe – not just more gridlock, not just public cynicism, but an increased willingness on the part of politicians and their followers to violate democratic norms, to do anything they can to get their way.”

 

Obama discussed the “power of pluralism” with thousands of live and online attendees at a deeply divided time in U.S. history and an unsettling one for Democrats as Republican Donald Trump returns to the White House.

 

Building lasting majorities that supported justice required “framing our issues, our causes, what we believe in, in terms of ‘we’ and not just ‘us and them,'” he said.

 

But that did not mean rolling over when opponents abused power, he said. “That’s a problem. And when that happens, we fight for what we believe in.”

Bezos Backs Deregulation

Someone wants to make more money.

Amazon founder Jeff Bezos said Wednesday that he is “optimistic” about President-elect Donald Trump’s second term and expressed some excitement about potential regulatory cutbacks in the coming years.

 

“I’m actually very optimistic this time around,” Bezos said on stage during a wide-ranging interview at The New York Times’ DealBook Summit in New York. “He seems to have a lot of energy around reducing regulation. If I can help do that, I’m going to help him.”

 

“We do have too many regulations in this country,” Bezos added.

Hackers Hack Government Surveillance System

Any system can be hacked. The fact that this exists is a risk to the privacy and security of all Americans. TBF, it poses the same risk even if it wasn’t hacked.

The third has been systems that telecommunications companies use in compliance with the Communications Assistance for Law Enforcement Act (CALEA), which allows law enforcement and intelligence agencies with court orders to track people’s communications. CALEA systems can include classified court orders from the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court, which processes some U.S. intelligence court orders. The FBI official declined to say whether any classified material was accessed.

Dane County Judge Strikes Down Act 10

FFS

MADISON, Wis. – A Dane County judge struck down on Monday, Dec. 2 parts of Act 10, a Wisconsin law that placed limits on government workers’ unions.

 

The judge already ruled in July that the law broke the Wisconsin Constitution. Now on Dec. 2, 2024, Judge Jacob Frost released his decision laying out what parts of Act 10 should be struck as unconstitutional.

 

“This gets to the heart of the Court’s July Decision –the unconstitutional creation of the “public safety employee” group and differential treatment of it without a rational basis – so I strike these sections,” Frost wrote in the new decision.

I can’t tell you how exhausting I find the prospect of litigating Act 10 again. We did this ten years ago. The law is clearly, unequivocally, irrevocably constitutional and the policy has had a tremendously positive impact on the state.

But none of that matters. The Leftist judges in Madison – especially the ones on the Supreme Court – are going to gut it anyway for brazen political purposes. It is the absolute worst manifestation of a corrupted judicial system that rules to ideological outcomes instead of allegiance to the rule of law.

Biden Pardons Hunter to Protect the Family Business

We all knew it was coming, but that doesn’t make it any less scummy. The Bidens are dirtbags to the core and prove it again and again.

WashingtonCNN — 

President Joe Biden announced Sunday that he has pardoned his son Hunter Biden, who faced sentencing this month on gun crime and tax convictions, marking a reversal as he prepares to leave office.

“Today, I signed a pardon for my son Hunter,” the president said in a statement. It is a “full and unconditional pardon,” according to a copy of the executive grant of clemency.

[…]

By pardoning his son, Joe Biden has reneged on a public promise that he made repeatedly before and after dropping out of the 2024 presidential race. The president and his top White House spokesperson have said unequivocally, including after Trump won the 2024 election, that he would not pardon Hunter Biden or commute his sentence.

The pardon means Hunter Biden won’t be sentenced for his crimes, and it eliminates any chance of his being sent to prison, which was a possibility. Once the judges overseeing his cases are notified of the pardon, they’ll likely cancel the sentencing hearings, which were slated for December 12 in the gun case and December 16 in the tax case.

The pardon covers any potential federal crimes that Hunter Biden committed “from January 1, 2014 through December 1, 2024,” which, importantly, covers his entire tenure on the board of Ukrainian gas company Burisma. He had faced scrutiny for his controversial foreign business dealings.

Actress Lectures Americans

Sure. Uh huh. We haven’t had enough of the elite lecturing us rubes about how stupid we are for not voting for Marxism. Whatever.

Stone said her fellow Americans elected Donald Trump because they are ‘uneducated’ and don’t travel enough.

‘My country is in the midst of adolescence. Adolescence is very arrogant. Adolescence thinks it knows everything,’ the Basic Instinct actress said.

 

‘Adolescence is naïve and ignorant and arrogant. And we are in our ignorant, arrogant adolescence.

 

‘We haven’t seen this before in our country. So Americans who don’t travel, who 80 percent don’t have a passport, who are uneducated, are in their extraordinary naivete,’ she continued.

Universities Warning Illegal Alien Students

Um, what?

US universities have been emailing international students and staff advising them to return to campus before President-elect Donald Trump takes office in January, amid concerns over his plans for mass deportations.

 

“All international students are worried right now,” University of Colorado Denver professor Chloe East told the BBC.

 

Trump, a Republican, has pledged to enact the largest deportation operation in history, and use the US military to help.

 

More than 400,000 undocumented students are enrolled in US higher education, according to the Higher Ed Immigration Portal.

400,000 illegal aliens in our universities!? Our tax dollars are paying for that. American students are being denied admission for that. We are all paying more for higher education because of that.

Yes, deport them. Deport them all.

Mauston School District Eyes Third Referendum Within a Year After Voters Say “No”

This is going to be a long post, so buckle up. It is just one example of how Wisconsin government school districts cry poor and threaten kids’ education even when they are swimming in cash and how the data shows exactly where the money is going. Let’s go…

The Mauston School District is threatening to dissolve after an operational referendum was rejected by the voters this month. But wait, there’s more… the failed referendum in November was after they had another failed referendum just seven months ago in April. But wait, there’s more… despite the voters telling the school board to live within their means twice within a year, the school board is considering putting ANOTHER operational referendum on the ballot in February. But this time, they are threatening to dissolve the school district if they don’t get more cash. They just can’t possibly see a way forward without getting more money. They are blaming the usual suspects: declining aid with declining student population, rising expenses, and that dastardly equalization aid formula. You can read their agony in this story by WPR, but that’s the gist.

What’s really going on?

All of the data used in this post is found in various reports publicly available from the state DPI. I prefer longitudinal data and the data set takes us to the 2022-2023 school year. I’ll refer to school years going forward by the year when the school year ended. All good? Let’s dig into the Mauston School District and their alleged woes.

ENROLLMENT:

For the past 10 years, enrollment in the district has been relatively flat with an average enrollment of 1,448 students. In 2013, they had an enrollment of 1,462. In 2023, they had an enrollment of 1,410. Over a 10 year period, that’s an enrollment decline of 3.6% over a decade. This is actually better than most school districts that are facing steeper enrollment declines due to the overall demographic trends in the state.

So let’s lick apart the superintendent’s statement from the WPR story:

“It’s so enrollment driven, which is a challenge in rural areas,” Heesch said. “You’re seeing declining enrollments, your revenues are either flat or decreasing based on those enrollments, while your expenditures, especially through an inflationary period, have increased dramatically.”

Enrollment is down. A bit. A little bit. But a 3.6% decline over a decade is very, very manageable. It is not a precipitous collapse. So let’s look at revenue and costs.

REVENUE:

Over the same 10 year period, from 2013 to 2023, Total comparative revenue is up 28.7% from $20,795,476 to $26,757,154. In per-student terms over the same period, revenue increased 34.5% from $14,114 per student to $18,977 per student.

In inflation adjusted dollars, $18,977 in 2023 was worth about $14,814 in 2013 dollars according to the CPI calculator from the federal BLS.

So, the conclusion is that revenue on both a total and on a per-student basis has kept up with inflation and then some. District revenue has exceeded the inflation rate by about 5%. That’s not an excessive amount, but it does show that the taxpayers have provided increasingly more funding to the Mauston School District in excess of the rate of inflation.

COSTS:

Enrollment is flat to a slight decline. Revenue is increasing in excess of inflation. So why is the school districts claiming a financial crisis that may require them to dissolve without even more money?

It’s the costs. It’s always the costs. Let’s take a look:

In the report titled “Audited Annual Report Comparative Cost” for Mauston in the longitudinal reports (it downloads as an excel sheet), we can see the spending for every line item over time. The thing to look for is which line items are increasing in excess to inflation or are new expenditures. Here are some key cost drivers (note that I am going to use per-pupil numbers to normalize the spending to enrollment):

  • Total Instructional Expenditures are up 22.4% from $6,983 per student to $8,544 per student. That’s not bad. It’s actually lower than the rate of inflation over the same period.
  • Operational/Administration/Other expenditures are up 51.1% from $2,793 to $4,220 over the 10-year period. That is double the rate of inflation.
  • That doesn’t tell the whole story of the cost of administration. Beginning in 2015, all Wisconsin districts broke out Administration costs into its own category (thank you, Republicans) so we can see them better, Between 2015 and 2023, just Administration expenses went up 37.5%. Over the same period, Operational expenses increased 47.5%. Both categories were increasing well in excess of the rate of inflation.
    • The big drivers in these categories were “Operation Administration,” “Other Support Services,” and “Purchased Instructional Services.”
  • Interestingly, between 2013 and 2023, transportation costs went up less than 1% – well below the rate of inflation. So the excuse that many rural districts use for spending is the cost of transportation in a geographically large, population sparse, district does not apply here.
  • Facilities costs went up 77% between 2013 and 2023 from $1,838 per student to $3,259 per student.

SUMMARY:

The story of the Mauston School District is similar to so many other school districts in Wisconsin. Student enrollment has been flat to declining, but their revenue has been increasing to match the rate of inflation and then some. The spending on direct student instruction – the money spent on actual teachers in the classrooms – has increased, but not as quickly as the rate of inflation. Meanwhile, spending on administration and facilities has far exceeded the rate of inflation – soaking up all of the additional revenue, and then some, and squeezing out spending on teachers.

The alleged financial struggles of the Mauston School District are entirely self-inflicted by wasteful spending on administration and facilities. Meanwhile, the students and the teachers are left wanting. The taxpayers are right to deny them more money through an operational referendum and the school board and administration are utterly incompetent and/or corrupt if they can’t manage the district’s finances any better than this.

School District Punishes Parents for Wearing XX Wristbands

The Trans crowd won’t tolerate any dissent – even the silent and non-aggressive wearing of a wristband.

CONCORD, N.H. (AP) — School district officials who punished two parents for wearing pink wristbands marked “XX” during a soccer game featuring a transgender player defended their decision Friday at a hearing on whether they can take similar action while they are being sued.

 

Kyle Fellers and Anthony Foote were banned from school grounds after the September game by officials who viewed the wristbands as intimidation or harassment of a transgender player. They later sued the Bow school district, and while the no-trespass orders have since expired, a judge is deciding whether the plaintiffs should be allowed to wear the wristbands and carry signs at upcoming school events, including basketball games, swim meets and a music concert, while the case proceeds.

 

Both men testified Thursday that they didn’t intend to harass or otherwise target a transgender player on the opposing team, and their attorneys have argued they did nothing more than silently express their support for reserving girls’ sports for those born female. But school officials testified Friday that they had reason to believe the men wouldn’t stop there.

 

[…]

 

Kelley also pushed back on the idea that the plaintiffs were simply expressing support for their daughters and their teammates in general, noting that they chose the one game involving a transgender player to begin wearing the wristbands.

 

“This was organized and targeted,” she said. “If we were to allow harassment, we’re liable.”

Woke Delta Airlines CEO Welcomes Trump Administration

Heh. Delta Airlines is one of the most woke large corporations out there and has been increasingly vocal. That fact makes this comment all the more interesting.

The chief executive of Delta Air Lines says the incoming Trump administration will be a “breath of fresh air” for airlines after what he calls government “overreach” under President Joe Biden.

 

The airline industry has chafed under consumer-protection regulations imposed by the Biden administration. And Delta is facing a federal investigation into its slow recovery from a global technology outage this summer.

Trump Nominates Last Secretary of Education

One can hope. I don’t want a better Department of Education. I don’t want the Department of Education to exist.

Linda McMahon, co-chair of Donald Trump’s transition team, has been nominated for education secretary in his upcoming administration.

 

In a statement, Trump extolled the “incredible” job she was doing as transition team co-chair and said: “As Secretary of Education, Linda will fight tirelessly to expand ‘Choice’ to every State in America, and empower parents to make the best Education decisions for their families. … We will send Education BACK TO THE STATES, and Linda will spearhead that effort.”

A Few Thoughts

I’ve returned home after several days attending to wonderful family things and spending a couple days in our nation’s capital. No, I am not being considered for a cabinet post. Or am I?!?! Here are a couple of thoughts on recent events:

  • President Biden, or someone in his administration, just committed a bona fide act of war against a nuclear power by authorizing Ukraine to use American weaponry to strike deep into Russia. The deliberate escalation of a war by a lame duck president whose party was just resoundingly rejected by the American people is unconscionable. He is risking nuclear annihilation and sacrificing the lives of thousands of Russians and Ukrainians. Why? My guess is that the Biden Administration if trying to make it impossible for Trump to exit the Ukrainian war by escalating it for the purpose of keeping the military-industrial complex fed and to protect his family’s dealings in that rotten country. If there is anything about which Biden has been consistent, it is using his power and office for personal gain.
  • Except for Gaetz and Oz, I rather like Trump’s appointments so far. The American people voted for radical change and Trump is bringing in people who are capable of delivering it. I hope they all have the stomach to see it through for the sake of our children and their children. It is going to get nasty when swaths of bureaucrats are unemployed, and the federal spigots turn off. But for the sake of our children, it needs to happen.
  • This week I visited, amongst other things, Arlington House and Mt. Vernon. Both places gave honorable recognition to the enslaved people who serviced both Lee and Washington while still honoring these complex, yet important, Americans (no, I am not equating the two men, but they are both important parts of our American story). Well done.
  • Also in D.C., it was interesting how prevalent Trump gear was. I even saw two girls in a middle school group wearing MAGA hats. For the bluest of blue cities, Trump support was surprisingly strong.
  • It is insane that some states are still counting votes. Impoverished Third World countries are laughing at us.

Source of Racist Texts Unknown

Law enforcement has already put more effort into trying to find the source of these texts than they have trying to locate and prosecute Epstein’s clients. And I’ll bet you dollars to doughnuts that the people who sent these texts are radical leftists trying to agitate.

The messages “appear to be robotext messages,” and the Nevada’s Attorney General’s Office is working with law enforcement to investigate their source, the office said in a statement on X.

Whoever is sending the racist text messages is using anonymizing software to obscure their location, Louisiana Attorney General Liz Murrill told CNN on Friday. At least some of the messages were sent using an email service routing traffic through Poland, but it does not mean it is where the sender is, the attorney general said.

“They could be coming from Napoleonville, Louisiana, for all we know. We don’t know where they are originating from,” Murrill said.

Murrill said Thursday she directed state investigators “to fully investigate the origins of these disgusting texts that only intend to divide us.” The Louisiana Bureau of Investigations is “still trying to trace where everything is actually originating from,” she told CNN.

Attorneys general in Washington, DC, Virginia, New Jersey, Illinois and Maryland have condemned the messages and urged those who feel under threat to contact law enforcement.

Federal Employees Worry About Trump

They should worry. Frankly, given the amount of bloat even in just the past few years, I’d guess that we could cut 30% of the workforce and not even notice. Then eliminate and consolidate departments to scale back further. It should be easy, but it won’t be. I hope that Trump has the stomach to make real, necessary changes.

Trumpin his formal campaign platform, called to redistribute workers out of the Washington area and implement large-scale cuts to the federal government, which he has long derided as harboring members of the “deep state.” Before leaving office in 2020, he issued an executive order that made tens of thousands of employees subject to firing with little due process if they were found to have resisted the administration’s policies – a move unwound by the Biden administration that Trump’s allies have vowed to restore. His calls for cuts have been amplified by surrogates such as billionaire Elon Musk, who insists such moves are necessary to cut down on waste and inefficiency.

West Bend = Madison

What do West Bend and Madison have in common? They both passed idiotic, wasteful school referendums that will strangle your taxpayers for decades to come. And neither referendum will result in a single kid getting a better education. But it’s not really about the kids, is it?

Why did Trump win?

Now that we’ve had a bit of time to reflect, it’s worth thinking about why Trump won. At the end of the day, I think it’s pretty simple. Trump won because of the fundamentals. We are at the tail end of a failed presidency where inflation has eaten away the quality of life of Americans, the pressures put on society by the open border (crime, wage pressure, housing, social safety net, schools, etc.) are real, and echos of totalitarianism felt during and since the pandemic scare people. Americans want change. Biden and Harris were not going to offer that change.

Trump was a flawed candidate for many reasons. He may have won despite that. Maybe. Or he may have won because of that. While flawed, he is unquestionably a tough change agent who has the capacity to effect meaningful change in the way our federal government operates. He is not about incremental change this time. And that’s what people want. We’ll never know if DeSantis or Abbot or someone would have won by a larger margin. What we do know is that Trump DID win. And he won because more Americans want him in the White House than those who didn’t. The same Americans who gave Obama two terms and Biden one term are the same ones who elected Trump. They are not bigoted, stupid, crazy, sexist, or fooled. They know who Trump is. They want change from the misery of the Biden years and Trump is the most likely instrument of that change. It’s as simple as that.

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