The latest Marquette Law School Poll is out. The race appears to be narrowing in Wisconsin.
Among likely voters, i.e., those who say they are certain they will vote in November, Clinton is supported by 45 percent and Trump by 42 percent in the new poll, with 10 percent saying they will support neither candidate. In the early August poll, 52 percent of likely voters supported Clinton, while Trump was backed by 37 percent and 10 percent said they had no preference. In July, likely voters gave Clinton 45 percent support and Trump 41 percent, while 14 percent said they lacked a preference.
In a head-to-head matchup for Wisconsin’s U.S. Senate race among registered voters, Russ Feingold receives 46 percent to Ron Johnson’s 42 percent, with 9 percent lacking a preference. In early August, Feingold had 49 percent and Johnson had 43 percent. In July, Feingold had 48 percent support and Johnson 41 percent.
With such bad candidates on the presidential ticket, I think that a lot of the occasional voters will stay home, thus making this race all about turning out the base. If that’s the case, then the GOP has the tougher slog since a sizable portion of people who used to be the GOP base won’t vote for Trump.