Boots & Sabers

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0947, 20 Jun 20

Large Gatherings Don’t Lead to Covid Outbreaks

I guess we can have state and local fairs now? Concerts? Parades?

The United States has seen new coronavirus cases climb from about 21,000 a day the last week of May to nearly 23,000 a day this week. Positive tests and, in some places, hospitalizations have spiked, too, leading many to wonder if a change in behavior caused outbreaks in states such as California, Arizona and Florida.

But neither protests or more people leaving home explain the surge of new COVID-19 cases, a USA TODAY analysis of counties with at least 100 cases has found. Residents of counties with growth of 25% or more over the previous two weeks left their homes at the same rate as people in counties without a surge of new infections, according to cell phone location data compiled by the company SafeGraph.

And large protests were as common in counties without outbreaks as in others


0947, 20 June 2020


  1. Pat

    It’s not a surge. It’s more testing. If we had less testing the cases would be lower. If we had no testing we have no cases. Simple, right?

  2. dad29

    Yup.  The Official Sino Sinus-Syphilis chart shows testing increasing from ~125,000/day on 4/1 to ~420,000/day a week ago, while “confirmed” infections bounced around from almost 0 to ~25,000 during the same period.  There is no “spike” when one examines the chart; it’s another (typical) fluctuation.

    But …..EXPERTS!!

  3. jjf

    Hey Mar, is Dad29 correct for your neck of the woods?

    No spike, right?

    Or, as I stated here over and over, months ago, there will be waves of spikes, region by region in the year ahead and that this will provoke new lockdowns?

  4. Mar

    jjf, not where I live, no. In other parts of Arizona, yes. Part due to increased testing, part nursing homes and part because people will catch it.
    But the hospitals are not being overrun but they are being cautious.

  5. Randall Flagg

    The problem is clearly that we are testing way too many people.  We need to slow the testing rate beyond what Trump has already slowed it.  That will make things look better.


  6. Mar

    If that is worst illness they get from a strip club, then the patrons/dancers are doing pretty good.

  7. Kevin Scheunemann

    I have little sympathy for those getting any disease at a strip club.

    Godlessness has consequences.

  8. jjf

    Oh, the religious are protected from viruses and bacteria, are they Kev?

  9. Tuerqas

    Oh, the religious are protected from viruses and bacteria, are they Kev?

    No, as he says, Kevin just has little sympathy for any life besides his own and un-born babies.

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