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Tuesday, September 07, 2010

Vote Walker and Johnson

My column for the Daily News is online.  It’s called, “Vote Walker and Johnson.”  That’s pretty self-explanitory.

(8) Comments
Posted by Owen at 0654 hrs
Politics + Politics - Wisconsin

  1. Nothing about Conservative Rebecca Kleefisch vs the RINO Brett Davis for Lt Gov?  This race is a microcosm of the battle for the soul of Wisconsin’s GOP, imo.

    Posted by .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address) on September 07, 2010 at 0832 hrs


  2. Two weeks ago:

    http://www.bootsandsabers.com/index.php/weblog/permalink/looking_into_gop_lieutenant_governors_race/

    Posted by Owen on September 07, 2010 at 0840 hrs


  3. Correction: Walker is a career politician with a very short stint in the non-profit sector—Red Cross.

    Posted by .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address) on September 07, 2010 at 0913 hrs


  4. Was speaking with a someone over the weekend who I will simply describe as extremely well connected at the highest level of legislative campaigning for the Democratic Party.  He doesn’t pull punches with me, and will give me the inside scoop on what is going on within the Democratic Campaign machines within the state.  Historically his predictions at Labor day have been very good.

    I have to admit, I was quite suprised to hear him say the following:

    1.  Feingold WILL win ... Johnson will not be within 5 Points on Election day
    2.  Barrett Likely will beat Walker. He claims Walker has never gotten to 50% in any of their internal polling.  He does acknowledge it will be close.  Talk of Walker winning by 5 or more is a Republican pipe dream.
    3.  Kagen and Kind will be re-elected comfortably, and thinks Duffy will lose in the race to replace Obey.
    4.  Dems will lose the Assembly but keep the Senate.
    4a.  Tom Sullivan will beat Vukmir handily.

    I honestly don’t know what to think about these ... the last 4 election cycles he has been spot on.  It makes me wonder if everything I am reading and observing personally about what is going on in the state electorate is completely wrong (I think the only projection he is right about is Ron Kind), or if Democrats polling is bad, or they simply are in denial about had bad things truly are going to be for them this fall.  I personally think that if this is truly the belief inside Democratic Campaign circles this fall, they are in for a rude awakening ...

    Posted by .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address) on September 07, 2010 at 1136 hrs


  5. A Democrat believes the Democrats will sweep up n the top races? Shocking. I shall prepare for the worst.

    Posted by .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address) on September 07, 2010 at 1240 hrs


  6. Was speaking with a someone over the weekend who I will simply describe as extremely well connected at the highest level of legislative campaigning for the Democratic Party.

    Let me guess: Joe Biden?

    (just kidding)

    Posted by .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address) on September 07, 2010 at 1442 hrs


  7. I get a laugh when someone worries when a Dem or Lib “predicts” the Dems will beat this person or that person. What might you expect from a Dem. If that were true why are the Dems all but conceding the majority to the Rep or Conservatives. Even The commentators and the McLaughlin group are doing that. Don’t let the Dems skew or worry you when they enter a conservative room or twitter or such and get on their soap box. Thats how politics works - discredit the other guy.  As for me I can’t blame the “former administration” for the mess the “present one” created. But that’s how they will do it - point fingers and distract you from the facts.

    Posted by .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address) on September 09, 2010 at 0812 hrs


  8. Marty,

    I get what you’re saying, and were this just some guy I knew who was spouting off at a bar, I’d blow it off.  What I didn’t point out in my first post was that this person is someone very close to me.  The conversation we had was just the two of us, and it is at these times he is most candid with me.  He is deeply emmersed in legislative campaigns at the State Level.  His predictions focus exclusively on the State races.  When he talks national elections, he makes it clear that his guess is about as good as mine.  When we have these kinds of discussions about State races he is very frank ... when his party is going to take a beating he tells me ... he doesn’t sugar coat things or try to spin me.  His track record when predicting races, especially the last 4 election cycles, has been outstanding weather a good year for Dems or Republicans.

    This is what I found so fascinating about his comments.  He is quite sure about where things stand.  I do think he’s way off base this year.  But his track record being what it is, makes me nervous that I and other Republicans and conservatives are being overly optimimistic about what is going to happen in Wisconsin in November. 

    I’m not sayin’ he’s right ... But I am saying he hasn’t been wrong much in the last 10 years, and his predictions fly in the face with what most people seem to think is going to happen in November.  I find that very interesting ...

    Posted by .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address) on September 09, 2010 at 1420 hrs


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