Election Predictions

I probably shouldn’t bother, but what the heck.

Wisconsin Assembly: Dems gain two seats.  GOP retains majority.

Wisconsin Senate: Dems gain one seat.

U.S. Senate: Dems gain four seats.

U.S. House: Dems gain 12 seats.

President: This one is almost impossible to predict.  As I play with the electoral map, I think that McCain has about a 25% chance of winning.  There are a lot of states “up for grabs” that McCain must win.  But they were almost all heavy GOP states in the past few cycles.  Plus, the polling has been overly weighted to Democrats, I think.  So I’m going to go out and a limb and predict a McCain electoral victory - although a slim one.  Obama will probably win the popular vote either way.

Here are a few other predictions:

- If Obama wins, it will be a mandate regardless of margin.
- If Obama loses, it will be because of latent racism in America.
- The legal challenges will last until December or later.
- The world will continue to revolve tomorrow either way. 
- The Robinson household is expecting three huge events tomorrow and the election results come in third place. 
- The Packers will end the season 8-8 and miss the playoffs.
- The European recession will be worse than the American one. 
- Russia will launch an incursion into the Ukraine within two years. 
- RIM will release a Blackberry that can register as an endpoint on an IP-PBX in 2009.
- IBM will acquire Avaya. 
- Proposition 8 will pass in California.

That is all…